When naïvely extrapolating from current trends “Absurdity—or calamity—arrives fast at those rates.” This is one of my big beefs with Kurzweil et al. They take an exponential growth curve and believe it will continue at that pace forever.
David Owen describes how energy efficiency is not the answer to our sustainability problems and challenges the shallow thinking behind so much of our efforts at conservation. He has important things to say to those of us who want to make an actual difference rather than just feeling like we’re making a difference.
Parts of our civilization have become very efficient. Our first reaction to the word efficient is usually completely positive, but we often forget that efficiency almost always comes as a tradeoff against resilience.